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Quarterfinal 2-22018 Shanghai Regional
Red450
5453170.5
5823152.5
6991117.7
Blue119
6827134.6
7047123.8
6771127.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3692540100200300400500450119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5453
#23
170.50.4
169.4→169.7
Auto18.3
Teleop134.4
End19.9
red by 35.9
6827
#11
134.60.1
134.5→134.6
Auto18.9
Teleop102.0
End13.1
Second
5823
#5
152.50.3
151.4→151.7
Auto22.7
Teleop116.7
End13.0
red by 24.6
6771
#16
127.80.3
127.6→127.8
Auto15.0
Teleop104.3
End7.1
Third
6991
#28
117.70.4
116.4→116.8
Auto15.4
Teleop93.3
End8.0
blue by 6.1
7047
#7
123.80.6
123.2→123.8
Auto19.6
Teleop101.7
End2.8