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Semifinal 2-22018 Shanghai Regional
Red356
5839137.5
6803163.8
6970126.5
Blue289
6304106.3
5451124.8
6487114.6
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions379225100300500600700356289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6803
#3
163.81.8
158.8→160.6
Auto21.5
Teleop120.9
End25.3
red by 39.0
5451
#8
124.80.6
124.3→124.8
Auto19.3
Teleop103.4
End2.1
Second
5839
#6
137.50.5
136.1→136.6
Auto18.1
Teleop104.0
End14.3
red by 22.8
6487
#19
114.60.5
114.1→114.6
Auto14.8
Teleop90.0
End13.9
Third
6970
#14
126.50.5
125.1→125.6
Auto17.5
Teleop99.4
End10.3
red by 20.2
6304
#10
106.30.6
105.7→106.3
Auto16.7
Teleop85.7
End6.0