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Qual 1012018 Tesla Division
Red215
85212.5
1360197.6
6618177.0
Blue391
291184.9
2614203.9
2169134.3
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions417320100200500600700215391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#26
212.50.3
213.6→213.9
Auto23.3
Teleop161.0
End30.2
red by 8.6
2614
#4
203.91.3
199.5→200.8
Auto26.9
Teleop150.8
End24.8
Second
1360
#52
197.60.5
200.8→200.3
Auto24.7
Teleop147.9
End22.6
red by 12.7
291
#10
184.91.4
180.4→181.9
Auto24.0
Teleop142.4
End20.5
Third
6618
#36
177.00.2
177.2→177.0
Auto19.3
Teleop131.8
End24.0
red by 42.8
2169
#54
134.31.1
135.8→134.7
Auto15.8
Teleop105.5
End13.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
98%Auto Quest oddsEarned83%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
33%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed