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Qual 1022018 Tesla Division
Red415
6090195.9
6077176.3
3550143.7
Blue232
321138.3
3623169.1
6802144.5
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4063100100200500600700415232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6090
#22
195.90.9
197.4→196.4
Auto22.9
Teleop143.0
End30.9
red by 26.8
3623
#35
169.10.4
168.7→169.1
Auto20.7
Teleop125.2
End23.4
Second
6077
#23
176.30.9
175.5→176.3
Auto19.7
Teleop133.4
End22.5
red by 31.8
6802
#34
144.50.3
144.3→144.5
Auto21.6
Teleop104.0
End19.6
Third
3550
#56
143.70.4
143.3→143.7
Auto17.6
Teleop109.0
End16.3
red by 5.4
321
#59
138.30.7
138.9→138.3
Auto19.2
Teleop101.8
End12.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned73%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
27%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed