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Red337
573148.0
525186.5
4531161.2
Blue285
4939136.3
85212.5
4391179.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3333910100200300500600700337285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#45
186.50.7
188.7188.0
Auto22.9
Teleop138.8
End23.3
blue by 26.0
85
#26
212.51.0
213.9212.9
Auto23.3
Teleop161.0
End30.2
Second
4531
#46
161.21.7
159.5161.2
Auto19.3
Teleop114.8
End28.6
blue by 18.7
4391
#65
179.92.4
182.3179.9
Auto27.2
Teleop131.8
End21.3
Third
573
#44
148.00.4
148.4148.0
Auto18.8
Teleop110.4
End19.8
red by 11.7
4939
#63
136.30.2
136.5136.3
Auto17.3
Teleop101.9
End18.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsMissed97%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
39%Face the Boss oddsMissed26%Face the Boss oddsEarned