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Qual 1102018 Tesla Division
Red309
1360197.6
3258157.4
6574129.3
Blue466
5114167.7
3098194.0
238189.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305410100200500600309466

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1360
#52
197.61.7
200.3→198.6
Auto24.7
Teleop147.9
End22.6
red by 3.6
3098
#7
194.01.1
191.4→192.5
Auto20.5
Teleop143.3
End29.2
Second
3258
#66
157.40.1
157.3→157.4
Auto16.6
Teleop117.1
End23.9
blue by 31.7
238
#47
189.11.6
192.0→190.4
Auto17.4
Teleop150.5
End19.3
Third
6574
#48
129.30.0
129.3→129.3
Auto16.5
Teleop97.8
End14.1
blue by 38.4
5114
#18
167.71.2
165.5→166.7
Auto19.5
Teleop122.7
End26.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsEarned91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
20%Face the Boss oddsMissed76%Face the Boss oddsEarned