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Red453
340210.3
1310152.4
1506186.6
Blue191
5090124.4
7068112.8
2168189.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4362100100300400500600700453191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#5
210.31.1
207.4208.5
Auto23.6
Teleop157.3
End28.3
red by 20.8
2168
#20
189.50.1
189.5189.6
Auto21.3
Teleop151.6
End13.0
Second
1506
#33
186.61.0
187.6186.6
Auto21.9
Teleop141.6
End23.6
red by 62.2
5090
#58
124.41.2
125.6124.4
Auto17.9
Teleop92.0
End10.5
Third
1310
#51
152.40.4
152.8152.4
Auto22.4
Teleop115.4
End14.8
red by 39.6
7068
#67
112.81.4
111.4112.8
Auto13.2
Teleop90.1
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
97%Auto Quest oddsEarned49%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed