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Red317
3641196.2
527160.5
6090195.9
Blue473
3770168.7
5567177.4
1712182.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39634805001,0001,500317473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
196.20.8
195.2196.1
Auto21.4
Teleop152.2
End24.4
red by 14.0
182.21.7
179.2180.9
Auto21.7
Teleop143.3
End18.7
Second
6090
#22
195.90.5
196.4195.9
Auto22.9
Teleop143.0
End30.9
red by 18.5
5567
#14
177.40.5
177.8177.2
Auto22.0
Teleop126.3
End27.9
Third
527
#55
160.50.7
161.2160.5
Auto20.1
Teleop121.2
End17.5
blue by 8.3
3770
#17
168.70.3
168.4168.7
Auto19.3
Teleop126.6
End23.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
29%Face the Boss oddsEarned29%Face the Boss oddsMissed