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Qual 112018 Tesla Division
Red512
3641196.2
2056255.0
6077176.3
Blue139
1360197.6
5675171.2
1729156.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4223210100200500600700512139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2056
#1
255.00.1
250.2→250.2
Auto27.9
Teleop182.0
End45.1
red by 57.4
1360
#52
197.60.1
208.8→208.9
Auto24.7
Teleop147.9
End22.6
Second
3641
#3
196.20.8
189.9→189.1
Auto21.4
Teleop152.2
End24.4
red by 25.0
5675
#21
171.20.0
177.9→177.8
Auto23.0
Teleop123.1
End25.6
Third
6077
#23
176.30.1
166.1→166.2
Auto19.7
Teleop133.4
End22.5
red by 19.9
1729
#38
156.41.0
164.4→165.4
Auto19.0
Teleop117.8
End16.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned97%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
76%Face the Boss oddsEarned24%Face the Boss oddsMissed