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Qual 102018 Tesla Division
Red433
5172207.7
3623169.1
7068112.8
Blue301
6911119.6
4618185.8
4810134.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions380311100200500600700433301

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5172
#15
207.71.2
207.3→208.5
Auto26.0
Teleop143.8
End36.3
red by 21.9
4618
#13
185.80.2
179.7→179.9
Auto22.2
Teleop141.8
End21.8
Second
3623
#35
169.10.9
163.7→164.7
Auto20.7
Teleop125.2
End23.4
red by 34.5
4810
#61
134.60.7
130.5→131.1
Auto18.6
Teleop99.3
End16.4
Third
7068
#67
112.80.0
114.8→114.7
Auto13.2
Teleop90.1
End9.2
blue by 6.8
6911
#57
119.60.0
119.8→119.8
Auto18.5
Teleop90.0
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsMissed70%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
32%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed