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Qual 172018 Tesla Division
Red361
321138.3
4391179.9
1720146.5
Blue363
4939136.3
4678192.8
3641196.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303388100200500600361363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4391
#65
179.91.5
194.4→192.9
Auto27.2
Teleop131.8
End21.3
blue by 16.3
3641
#3
196.20.2
189.1→189.3
Auto21.4
Teleop152.2
End24.4
Second
1720
#43
146.50.8
148.6→147.8
Auto18.8
Teleop103.6
End24.6
blue by 46.3
4678
#27
192.80.9
186.6→187.5
Auto24.8
Teleop151.1
End14.6
Third
321
#59
138.30.7
142.7→142.0
Auto19.2
Teleop101.8
End12.9
red by 2.0
4939
#63
136.30.4
138.9→138.5
Auto17.3
Teleop101.9
End18.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest oddsEarned90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
36%Face the Boss oddsEarned10%Face the Boss oddsMissed