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Qual 182018 Tesla Division
Red233
708171.6
3038145.6
1360197.6
Blue484
5528163.0
1712182.2
2168189.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335370100200300400500600233484

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1360
#52
197.61.3
208.9→207.6
Auto24.7
Teleop147.9
End22.6
red by 8.1
2168
#20
189.50.6
180.8→181.4
Auto21.3
Teleop151.6
End13.0
Second
708
#31
171.61.2
166.4→167.6
Auto19.9
Teleop125.6
End25.5
blue by 10.6
1712
#8
182.20.2
170.4→170.6
Auto21.7
Teleop143.3
End18.7
Third
3038
#49
145.60.9
142.3→143.2
Auto16.9
Teleop112.5
End17.1
blue by 17.4
5528
#29
163.02.3
166.7→164.4
Auto23.0
Teleop119.1
End22.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsEarned91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed12%Face the Boss oddsMissed