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Qual 202018 Tesla Division
Red346
4472170.3
5675171.2
5567177.4
Blue406
3197168.7
5114167.7
5172207.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions359397250300450500550600346406

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5567
#14
177.41.4
173.0→174.3
Auto22.0
Teleop126.3
End27.9
blue by 30.3
5172
#15
207.71.3
208.5→209.8
Auto26.0
Teleop143.8
End36.3
Second
5675
#21
171.21.3
177.8→176.5
Auto23.0
Teleop123.1
End25.6
red by 2.5
3197
#50
168.71.5
168.4→169.9
Auto20.9
Teleop124.0
End24.5
Third
4472
#42
170.30.0
167.7→167.7
Auto19.9
Teleop126.9
End25.5
red by 2.6
5114
#18
167.70.6
170.3→169.7
Auto19.5
Teleop122.7
End26.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest oddsEarned95%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss oddsEarned65%Face the Boss oddsMissed