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Qual 212018 Tesla Division
Red419
6077176.3
1676165.9
314157.3
Blue264
4810134.6
238189.1
2169134.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3423250100200400500600700419264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6077
#23
176.30.9
166.2→167.1
Auto19.7
Teleop133.4
End22.5
blue by 12.8
238
#47
189.11.9
205.2→203.3
Auto17.4
Teleop150.5
End19.3
Second
1676
#32
165.90.2
162.0→161.9
Auto17.6
Teleop121.2
End30.1
red by 31.3
4810
#61
134.60.7
131.1→131.9
Auto18.6
Teleop99.3
End16.4
Third
314
#9
157.30.0
151.1→151.1
Auto18.7
Teleop120.6
End16.0
red by 23.0
2169
#54
134.30.6
138.2→138.9
Auto15.8
Teleop105.5
End13.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned49%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
25%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed