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Qual 232018 Tesla Division
Red246
6911119.6
319220.7
2609162.6
Blue516
85212.5
3098194.0
527160.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314422100200500600700800246516

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#16
220.70.1
219.7→219.8
Auto22.9
Teleop160.7
End36.6
red by 8.2
85
#26
212.50.7
207.9→208.7
Auto23.3
Teleop161.0
End30.2
Second
2609
#40
162.60.6
164.4→163.9
Auto23.5
Teleop122.6
End11.6
blue by 31.4
3098
#7
194.00.3
186.5→186.8
Auto20.5
Teleop143.3
End29.2
Third
6911
#57
119.60.2
119.8→120.1
Auto18.5
Teleop90.0
End8.0
blue by 40.9
527
#55
160.51.4
167.5→166.2
Auto20.1
Teleop121.2
End17.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned99%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
27%Face the Boss oddsEarned26%Face the Boss oddsEarned