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Qual 242018 Tesla Division
Red393
6090195.9
2056255.0
3667152.4
Blue297
3038145.6
1712182.2
1310152.4
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4652610100200300400500600393297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2056
#1
255.00.8
251.1→251.8
Auto27.9
Teleop182.0
End45.1
red by 72.8
1712
#8Sur
182.21.1
170.6→171.7
Auto21.7
Teleop143.3
End18.7
Second
6090
#22Sur
195.90.3
198.6→198.3
Auto22.9
Teleop143.0
End30.9
red by 43.5
1310
#51
152.40.6
150.5→151.1
Auto22.4
Teleop115.4
End14.8
Third
3667
#11
152.40.5
145.8→146.2
Auto18.7
Teleop121.3
End11.8
red by 6.8
3038
#49
145.60.2
143.2→143.0
Auto16.9
Teleop112.5
End17.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned72%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
77%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed