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Qual 252018 Tesla Division
Red365
2168189.5
597167.3
1792162.1
Blue279
5172207.7
2500124.4
3770168.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37933902006008001,0001,200365279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2168
#20
189.51.4
181.4→182.9
Auto21.3
Teleop151.6
End13.0
blue by 18.2
5172
#15
207.70.7
209.8→210.5
Auto26.0
Teleop143.8
End36.3
Second
597
#19
167.30.4
162.8→163.2
Auto23.2
Teleop123.6
End21.6
blue by 1.4
3770
#17
168.70.0
167.6→167.5
Auto19.3
Teleop126.6
End23.7
Third
1792
#28
162.11.7
154.8→156.5
Auto22.4
Teleop122.9
End19.4
red by 37.8
2500
#64
124.40.7
124.1→124.8
Auto17.2
Teleop94.8
End15.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned70%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed34%Face the Boss oddsMissed