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Qual 262018 Tesla Division
Red358
4810134.6
1720146.5
573148.0
Blue428
5980154.0
2869142.9
1360197.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2844170100200500600700800358428

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
573
#44
148.01.0
155.2→154.2
Auto18.8
Teleop110.4
End19.8
blue by 49.6
1360
#52
197.61.7
207.6→205.8
Auto24.7
Teleop147.9
End22.6
Second
1720
#43
146.50.0
147.8→147.7
Auto18.8
Teleop103.6
End24.6
blue by 7.5
5980
#37
154.00.3
161.8→161.6
Auto24.4
Teleop111.0
End19.2
Third
4810
#61
134.60.5
131.9→132.4
Auto18.6
Teleop99.3
End16.4
blue by 8.3
2869
#25
142.90.7
138.6→139.3
Auto20.9
Teleop106.8
End14.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsEarned95%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
20%Face the Boss oddsMissed15%Face the Boss oddsMissed