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Qual 272018 Tesla Division
Red192
291184.9
4680132.4
533165.1
Blue463
4618185.8
3641196.2
340210.3
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2704310100200500600700800192463

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
291
#10
184.90.1
179.8→179.7
Auto24.0
Teleop142.4
End20.5
blue by 25.3
340
#5
210.30.7
201.8→202.5
Auto23.6
Teleop157.3
End28.3
Second
533
#30
165.10.4
162.8→163.2
Auto17.7
Teleop122.3
End29.7
blue by 31.1
3641
#3
196.20.3
189.3→189.6
Auto21.4
Teleop152.2
End24.4
Third
4680
#60
132.40.2
133.5→133.7
Auto16.8
Teleop97.6
End15.4
blue by 53.3
4618
#13
185.81.0
180.3→179.3
Auto22.2
Teleop141.8
End21.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsEarned97%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsEarned