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Qual 282018 Tesla Division
Red264
3258157.4
3623169.1
4939136.3
Blue412
4678192.8
1676165.9
1241232.9
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292451100200400500600700800264412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3623
#35
169.11.4
165.7→167.1
Auto20.7
Teleop125.2
End23.4
blue by 63.8
1241
#2
232.91.6
236.5→234.8
Auto23.4
Teleop174.2
End35.0
Second
3258
#66
157.42.1
154.3→156.4
Auto16.6
Teleop117.1
End23.9
blue by 35.4
4678
#27
192.80.8
187.5→188.3
Auto24.8
Teleop151.1
End14.6
Third
4939
#63
136.30.2
138.5→138.3
Auto17.3
Teleop101.9
End18.5
blue by 29.6
1676
#32
165.90.9
161.9→162.8
Auto17.6
Teleop121.2
End30.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsMissed94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed68%Face the Boss oddsEarned