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Red380
4678192.8
2609162.6
2590238.0
Blue412
5172207.7
573148.0
2056255.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3784090100200300500600700800380412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2590
#12
238.01.2
244.7243.6
Auto23.7
Teleop170.6
End40.5
blue by 17.0
255.00.1
251.8252.0
Auto27.9
Teleop182.0
End45.1
Second
4678
#27
192.80.9
188.3189.2
Auto24.8
Teleop151.1
End14.6
blue by 14.9
5172
#15
207.70.0
210.5210.5
Auto26.0
Teleop143.8
End36.3
Third
2609
#40
162.60.8
163.9163.1
Auto23.5
Teleop122.6
End11.6
red by 14.6
573
#44
148.00.9
154.2153.3
Auto18.8
Teleop110.4
End19.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
98%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
70%Face the Boss oddsEarned96%Face the Boss oddsEarned