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Qual 362018 Tesla Division
Red384
314157.3
291184.9
3623169.1
Blue256
3197168.7
5980154.0
3098194.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions361365250300400450500384256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
291
#10
184.90.5
179.7→179.2
Auto24.0
Teleop142.4
End20.5
blue by 9.1
3098
#7
194.00.8
186.8→187.7
Auto20.5
Teleop143.3
End29.2
Second
3623
#35
169.10.8
167.1→167.9
Auto20.7
Teleop125.2
End23.4
red by 0.5
3197
#50
168.70.4
170.7→171.1
Auto20.9
Teleop124.0
End24.5
Third
314
#9
157.31.0
152.1→153.1
Auto18.7
Teleop120.6
End16.0
red by 3.2
5980
#37
154.00.1
161.6→161.4
Auto24.4
Teleop111.0
End19.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
20%Face the Boss oddsMissed16%Face the Boss oddsEarned