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Red370
1676165.9
6802144.5
2614203.9
Blue333
3038145.6
533165.1
1720146.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3973080100200500600700370333

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203.90.6
193.8194.4
Auto26.9
Teleop150.8
End24.8
red by 38.7
533
#30
165.10.1
163.2163.1
Auto17.7
Teleop122.3
End29.7
Second
1676
#32
165.91.0
162.8163.8
Auto17.6
Teleop121.2
End30.1
red by 19.4
1720
#43
146.50.2
147.7147.5
Auto18.8
Teleop103.6
End24.6
Third
6802
#34
144.51.0
148.0147.0
Auto21.6
Teleop104.0
End19.6
blue by 1.1
3038
#49
145.60.1
143.0142.9
Auto16.9
Teleop112.5
End17.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
97%Auto Quest oddsMissed74%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
22%Face the Boss oddsEarned10%Face the Boss oddsEarned