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Qual 392018 Tesla Division
Red279
4391179.9
7068112.8
7226121.8
Blue308
5090124.4
5567177.4
4039171.2
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2334100100200300500600700279308

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4391
#65
179.91.7
192.2→190.5
Auto27.2
Teleop131.8
End21.3
red by 2.5
5567
#14
177.41.4
175.6→177.1
Auto22.0
Teleop126.3
End27.9
Second
7226
#24
121.81.2
114.4→115.6
Auto16.0
Teleop81.7
End25.9
blue by 49.3
4039
#53
171.20.2
174.4→174.6
Auto25.4
Teleop133.1
End8.9
Third
7068
#67
112.81.2
114.3→113.1
Auto13.2
Teleop90.1
End9.2
blue by 11.6
5090
#58
124.42.3
133.9→131.6
Auto17.9
Teleop92.0
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsEarned85%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsEarned7%Face the Boss oddsMissed