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Red320
6911119.6
6618177.0
525186.5
Blue384
6077176.3
3667152.4
3546180.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions348354200250300400450500320384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#45
186.50.0
189.2189.2
Auto22.9
Teleop138.8
End23.3
red by 6.1
180.40.5
173.2173.8
Auto22.4
Teleop137.0
End21.8
Second
6618
#36
177.00.9
174.8175.7
Auto19.3
Teleop131.8
End24.0
red by 0.7
6077
#23
176.31.4
168.9170.2
Auto19.7
Teleop133.4
End22.5
Third
6911
#57
119.60.4
120.0120.4
Auto18.5
Teleop90.0
End8.0
blue by 32.8
3667
#11
152.40.1
146.2146.1
Auto18.7
Teleop121.3
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
15%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed