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Red317
5114167.7
6574129.3
1073162.5
Blue395
743105.0
3770168.7
6090195.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions356325100200400500600317395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5114
#18
167.70.7
168.9168.2
Auto19.5
Teleop122.7
End26.3
blue by 28.2
6090
#22
195.90.7
198.3197.6
Auto22.9
Teleop143.0
End30.9
Second
1073
#41
162.51.6
163.3164.8
Auto20.8
Teleop127.7
End9.1
blue by 6.2
3770
#17
168.70.6
167.5166.9
Auto19.3
Teleop126.6
End23.7
Third
6574
#48
129.30.8
129.2128.4
Auto16.5
Teleop97.8
End14.1
red by 24.3
743
#62
105.01.0
103.9102.9
Auto12.7
Teleop83.7
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsEarned59%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
20%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed