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Qual 432018 Tesla Division
Red481
597167.3
319220.7
3641196.2
Blue203
3258157.4
708171.6
1506186.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4193260200600800481203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#16
220.70.3
219.8→219.6
Auto22.9
Teleop160.7
End36.6
red by 34.1
1506
#33
186.60.3
187.5→187.8
Auto21.9
Teleop141.6
End23.6
Second
3641
#3
196.20.9
189.6→190.5
Auto21.4
Teleop152.2
End24.4
red by 24.6
708
#31
171.60.5
167.9→168.4
Auto19.9
Teleop125.6
End25.5
Third
597
#19
167.30.6
163.2→163.8
Auto23.2
Teleop123.6
End21.6
red by 9.9
3258
#66
157.41.3
156.4→157.7
Auto16.6
Teleop117.1
End23.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
97%Auto Quest oddsEarned86%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
60%Face the Boss oddsEarned5%Face the Boss oddsEarned