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Red420
1241232.9
1310152.4
4472170.3
Blue310
527160.5
1360197.6
3550143.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4123290100200500600700800420310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
232.91.0
234.8233.8
Auto23.4
Teleop174.2
End35.0
red by 35.3
1360
#52
197.61.2
205.8204.6
Auto24.7
Teleop147.9
End22.6
Second
4472
#42
170.30.0
167.9168.0
Auto19.9
Teleop126.9
End25.5
red by 9.8
527
#55
160.50.5
166.2165.6
Auto20.1
Teleop121.2
End17.5
Third
1310
#51
152.40.5
151.1151.6
Auto22.4
Teleop115.4
End14.8
red by 8.8
3550
#56
143.70.7
142.5143.1
Auto17.6
Teleop109.0
End16.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned87%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
39%Face the Boss oddsMissed12%Face the Boss oddsMissed