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Red435
1729156.4
85212.5
5567177.4
Blue200
1792162.1
5980154.0
4680132.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4522540100200300400500600700800435200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#26
212.51.1
209.9211.0
Auto23.3
Teleop161.0
End30.2
red by 50.4
1792
#28
162.11.7
156.5158.2
Auto22.4
Teleop122.9
End19.4
Second
5567
#14
177.40.7
177.1177.8
Auto22.0
Teleop126.3
End27.9
red by 23.3
5980
#37
154.00.6
161.4160.9
Auto24.4
Teleop111.0
End19.2
Third
1729
#38
156.42.3
163.6161.3
Auto19.0
Teleop117.8
End16.8
red by 24.0
4680
#60
132.40.2
133.7133.5
Auto16.8
Teleop97.6
End15.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest oddsEarned85%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
20%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed