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Red211
2869142.9
6618177.0
6802144.5
Blue555
6574129.3
5090124.4
2056255.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2953940200600800211555

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6618
#36
177.00.7
175.7176.5
Auto19.3
Teleop131.8
End24.0
blue by 78.0
255.00.1
252.0251.9
Auto27.9
Teleop182.0
End45.1
Second
6802
#34
144.50.7
147.0146.3
Auto21.6
Teleop104.0
End19.6
red by 15.2
6574
#48
129.30.5
128.4127.9
Auto16.5
Teleop97.8
End14.1
Third
2869
#25
142.90.7
140.0140.6
Auto20.9
Teleop106.8
End14.4
red by 18.5
5090
#58
124.42.3
131.6129.3
Auto17.9
Teleop92.0
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsEarned57%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed62%Face the Boss oddsEarned