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Red365
4618185.8
1720146.5
4531161.2
Blue326
6077176.3
708171.6
3770168.7
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions348377200300400500600365326

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4618
#13
185.80.1
179.3179.4
Auto22.2
Teleop141.8
End21.8
red by 9.4
6077
#23
176.31.7
170.2171.9
Auto19.7
Teleop133.4
End22.5
Second
4531
#46
161.20.0
156.2156.3
Auto19.3
Teleop114.8
End28.6
blue by 10.4
708
#31
171.60.3
168.4168.1
Auto19.9
Teleop125.6
End25.5
Third
1720
#43
146.50.1
147.5147.6
Auto18.8
Teleop103.6
End24.6
blue by 22.2
3770
#17
168.70.2
166.9167.2
Auto19.3
Teleop126.6
End23.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsEarned90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
50%Face the Boss oddsMissed14%Face the Boss oddsEarned