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Red458
2056255.0
314157.3
5528163.0
Blue303
4039171.2
4680132.4
3258157.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions458230100300400500600700458303

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
255.00.7
251.9252.6
Auto27.9
Teleop182.0
End45.1
red by 83.8
4039
#53
171.20.1
174.2174.3
Auto25.4
Teleop133.1
End8.9
Second
5528
#29
163.00.4
164.4164.1
Auto23.0
Teleop119.1
End22.1
red by 5.6
3258
#66
157.40.2
158.1157.9
Auto16.6
Teleop117.1
End23.9
Third
314
#9
157.30.1
154.0154.1
Auto18.7
Teleop120.6
End16.0
red by 24.8
4680
#60
132.40.1
132.9132.9
Auto16.8
Teleop97.6
End15.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
97%Auto Quest oddsEarned81%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
90%Face the Boss oddsEarned8%Face the Boss oddsMissed