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Red245
6574129.3
2169134.3
2474178.6
Blue403
3667152.4
4472170.3
3641196.2
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2663900100200300500600245403

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2474
#39
178.60.2
180.1179.9
Auto23.0
Teleop140.1
End16.0
blue by 17.6
196.20.3
191.8192.1
Auto21.4
Teleop152.2
End24.4
Second
2169
#54
134.30.3
137.6137.3
Auto15.8
Teleop105.5
End13.5
blue by 36.1
4472
#42
170.30.3
168.1168.4
Auto19.9
Teleop126.9
End25.5
Third
6574
#48
129.30.3
127.9128.2
Auto16.5
Teleop97.8
End14.1
blue by 23.1
3667
#11
152.40.1
146.6146.7
Auto18.7
Teleop121.3
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsMissed85%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsEarned