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Qual 592018 Tesla Division
Red248
573148.0
1729156.4
5114167.7
Blue448
1676165.9
319220.7
1712182.2
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2654510100200300400500600248448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5114
#18
167.70.9
167.7→166.8
Auto19.5
Teleop122.7
End26.3
blue by 53.0
319
#16
220.70.0
220.0→220.0
Auto22.9
Teleop160.7
End36.6
Second
1729
#38
156.41.3
159.5→158.2
Auto19.0
Teleop117.8
End16.8
blue by 25.7
1712
#8
182.21.1
173.6→174.7
Auto21.7
Teleop143.3
End18.7
Third
573
#44
148.01.2
152.4→151.2
Auto18.8
Teleop110.4
End19.8
blue by 17.9
1676
#32
165.90.4
164.6→165.0
Auto17.6
Teleop121.2
End30.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsEarned93%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsEarned77%Face the Boss oddsEarned