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Red310
2869142.9
6077176.3
2590238.0
Blue515
1241232.9
3546180.4
291184.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364400200300500600310515

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2590
#12
238.01.3
242.8241.5
Auto23.7
Teleop170.6
End40.5
red by 5.1
232.91.3
233.1231.7
Auto23.4
Teleop174.2
End35.0
Second
6077
#23
176.31.5
171.9173.4
Auto19.7
Teleop133.4
End22.5
blue by 8.6
291
#10
184.90.2
179.0178.9
Auto24.0
Teleop142.4
End20.5
Third
2869
#25
142.90.2
140.6140.8
Auto20.9
Teleop106.8
End14.4
blue by 37.5
180.41.0
174.8175.8
Auto22.4
Teleop137.0
End21.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
79%Face the Boss oddsEarned42%Face the Boss oddsEarned