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Qual 652018 Tesla Division
Red362
4939136.3
743105.0
5172207.7
Blue459
3550143.7
2614203.9
708171.6
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305403100200500600362459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5172
#15
207.70.4
210.3→209.9
Auto26.0
Teleop143.8
End36.3
red by 3.8
2614
#4
203.90.7
195.0→195.7
Auto26.9
Teleop150.8
End24.8
Second
4939
#63
136.30.3
137.6→137.3
Auto17.3
Teleop101.9
End18.5
blue by 35.3
708
#31
171.60.0
168.1→168.1
Auto19.9
Teleop125.6
End25.5
Third
743
#62
105.00.1
102.8→102.9
Auto12.7
Teleop83.7
End11.8
blue by 38.7
3550
#56
143.70.4
143.2→142.8
Auto17.6
Teleop109.0
End16.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsEarned85%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
33%Face the Boss oddsEarned13%Face the Boss oddsMissed