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Red415
2590238.0
2474178.6
1310152.4
Blue334
5528163.0
525186.5
597167.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4073280100200500600700415334

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2590
#12
238.01.3
241.5240.3
Auto23.7
Teleop170.6
End40.5
red by 51.4
525
#45
186.50.3
189.1188.8
Auto22.9
Teleop138.8
End23.3
Second
2474
#39
178.60.4
179.9179.5
Auto23.0
Teleop140.1
End16.0
red by 11.3
597
#19
167.30.5
165.4165.8
Auto23.2
Teleop123.6
End21.6
Third
1310
#51
152.40.0
152.5152.6
Auto22.4
Teleop115.4
End14.8
blue by 10.6
5528
#29
163.00.0
164.1164.0
Auto23.0
Teleop119.1
End22.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
99%Auto Quest oddsEarned98%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
58%Face the Boss oddsEarned18%Face the Boss oddsMissed