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Qual 712018 Tesla Division
Red328
4039171.2
6090195.9
85212.5
Blue395
3667152.4
5172207.7
1241232.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions399371150200250300350450500550328395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85
#26
212.50.6
213.0→213.6
Auto23.3
Teleop161.0
End30.2
blue by 20.4
1241
#2
232.90.5
231.7→231.2
Auto23.4
Teleop174.2
End35.0
Second
6090
#22
195.90.4
197.8→198.2
Auto22.9
Teleop143.0
End30.9
blue by 11.8
5172
#15
207.70.2
209.9→209.7
Auto26.0
Teleop143.8
End36.3
Third
4039
#53
171.20.3
174.3→174.6
Auto25.4
Teleop133.1
End8.9
red by 18.8
3667
#11
152.40.7
146.7→147.4
Auto18.7
Teleop121.3
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
99%Auto Quest oddsEarned93%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
29%Face the Boss oddsEarned86%Face the Boss oddsEarned