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Qual 762018 Tesla Division
Red302
2609162.6
3550143.7
3038145.6
Blue398
3641196.2
4531161.2
2869142.9
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions295400100200500600700302398

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2609
#40
162.60.1
162.6→162.7
Auto23.5
Teleop122.6
End11.6
blue by 33.6
3641
#3
196.20.9
192.1→193.1
Auto21.4
Teleop152.2
End24.4
Second
3038
#49
145.60.6
143.2→143.8
Auto16.9
Teleop112.5
End17.1
blue by 15.6
4531
#46
161.20.4
156.7→157.0
Auto19.3
Teleop114.8
End28.6
Third
3550
#56
143.70.2
142.8→143.0
Auto17.6
Teleop109.0
End16.3
red by 0.8
2869
#25
142.90.1
140.8→140.7
Auto20.9
Teleop106.8
End14.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsEarned84%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed25%Face the Boss oddsMissed