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Qual 772018 Tesla Division
Red515
7226121.8
2168189.5
291184.9
Blue216
6802144.5
6911119.6
3258157.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3972400100200300500600700515216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2168
#20
189.51.0
186.5→187.5
Auto21.3
Teleop151.6
End13.0
red by 32.1
3258
#66
157.40.1
157.9→158.0
Auto16.6
Teleop117.1
End23.9
Second
291
#10
184.90.5
178.9→179.3
Auto24.0
Teleop142.4
End20.5
red by 40.4
6802
#34
144.50.5
145.4→144.9
Auto21.6
Teleop104.0
End19.6
Third
7226
#24
121.80.2
118.1→118.2
Auto16.0
Teleop81.7
End25.9
red by 2.3
6911
#57
119.60.3
120.3→120.1
Auto18.5
Teleop90.0
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsEarned68%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
17%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed