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Red126
5980154.0
4039171.2
1073162.5
Blue355
597167.3
4939136.3
4618185.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions357360150200250300400450500126355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4039
#53
171.20.2
174.6174.4
Auto25.4
Teleop133.1
End8.9
blue by 14.6
4618
#13
185.81.5
180.7182.3
Auto22.2
Teleop141.8
End21.8
Second
1073
#41
162.51.1
167.8166.7
Auto20.8
Teleop127.7
End9.1
blue by 4.8
597
#19
167.30.5
165.8166.3
Auto23.2
Teleop123.6
End21.6
Third
5980
#37
154.00.7
160.0159.2
Auto24.4
Teleop111.0
End19.2
red by 17.7
4939
#63
136.30.4
137.1136.8
Auto17.3
Teleop101.9
End18.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned93%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed