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Red265
4391179.9
3770168.7
5528163.0
Blue412
3623169.1
3197168.7
3667152.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3763330100200500600700800265412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4391
#65
179.92.5
187.5184.9
Auto27.2
Teleop131.8
End21.3
red by 10.8
3623
#35
169.10.4
168.7168.3
Auto20.7
Teleop125.2
End23.4
Second
3770
#17
168.70.7
167.8168.5
Auto19.3
Teleop126.6
End23.7
red by 0.1
3197
#50
168.71.5
171.0169.5
Auto20.9
Teleop124.0
End24.5
Third
5528
#29
163.00.0
164.0164.1
Auto23.0
Teleop119.1
End22.1
red by 10.7
3667
#11
152.40.9
147.4148.3
Auto18.7
Teleop121.3
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
98%Auto Quest oddsEarned68%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
30%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed