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Red406
1506186.6
1712182.2
525186.5
Blue270
2869142.9
6574129.3
5172207.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4302870100200500600700406270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1506
#33
186.60.3
188.0187.7
Auto21.9
Teleop141.6
End23.6
blue by 21.1
5172
#15
207.70.2
209.7209.8
Auto26.0
Teleop143.8
End36.3
Second
525
#45
186.50.2
188.8188.6
Auto22.9
Teleop138.8
End23.3
red by 43.7
2869
#25
142.90.4
140.7141.1
Auto20.9
Teleop106.8
End14.4
Third
182.20.8
175.8176.6
Auto21.7
Teleop143.3
End18.7
red by 52.9
6574
#48
129.30.9
128.2129.1
Auto16.5
Teleop97.8
End14.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned79%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsEarned58%Face the Boss oddsMissed