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Qual 872018 Tesla Division
Red311
5090124.4
1676165.9
4472170.3
Blue343
4680132.4
2609162.6
321138.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3832980100200500600700311343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4472
#42
170.30.2
169.3→169.5
Auto19.9
Teleop126.9
End25.5
red by 7.7
2609
#40
162.60.1
162.7→162.8
Auto23.5
Teleop122.6
End11.6
Second
1676
#32
165.90.5
165.6→166.1
Auto17.6
Teleop121.2
End30.1
red by 27.7
321
#59
138.30.6
140.2→139.5
Auto19.2
Teleop101.8
End12.9
Third
5090
#58
124.40.9
127.2→126.3
Auto17.9
Teleop92.0
End10.5
blue by 8.0
4680
#60
132.40.3
133.2→132.9
Auto16.8
Teleop97.6
End15.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsEarned79%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
16%Face the Boss oddsEarned5%Face the Boss oddsMissed