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Red338
5675171.2
6090195.9
319220.7
Blue434
340210.3
291184.9
4678192.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions376377340360380400420338434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#16
220.70.6
220.3220.9
Auto22.9
Teleop160.7
End36.6
red by 10.4
340
#5
210.30.4
206.2206.6
Auto23.6
Teleop157.3
End28.3
Second
6090
#22
195.90.2
198.2198.0
Auto22.9
Teleop143.0
End30.9
red by 3.1
4678
#27
192.80.1
192.0192.1
Auto24.8
Teleop151.1
End14.6
Third
5675
#21
171.20.2
172.5172.3
Auto23.0
Teleop123.1
End25.6
blue by 13.7
291
#10
184.91.1
179.3180.4
Auto24.0
Teleop142.4
End20.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
86%Face the Boss oddsEarned21%Face the Boss oddsEarned