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Red298
1720146.5
5172207.7
1506186.6
Blue402
3098194.0
1073162.5
1729156.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4023240100200500600700298402

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5172
#15
207.70.3
209.8209.5
Auto26.0
Teleop143.8
End36.3
red by 13.7
194.01.3
188.6189.9
Auto20.5
Teleop143.3
End29.2
Second
1506
#33
186.60.1
187.7187.6
Auto21.9
Teleop141.6
End23.6
red by 24.0
1073
#41
162.52.5
166.7164.2
Auto20.8
Teleop127.7
End9.1
Third
1720
#43
146.50.3
148.1148.4
Auto18.8
Teleop103.6
End24.6
blue by 9.9
1729
#38
156.40.3
156.6156.3
Auto19.0
Teleop117.8
End16.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest oddsEarned90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
88%Face the Boss oddsMissed41%Face the Boss oddsMissed