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Red446
1712182.2
7068112.8
3667152.4
Blue295
533165.1
6802144.5
4939136.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions336316200250300400450500446295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
182.20.8
176.6177.4
Auto21.7
Teleop143.3
End18.7
red by 17.0
533
#30
165.11.3
162.8164.0
Auto17.7
Teleop122.3
End29.7
Second
3667
#11
152.41.4
148.3149.7
Auto18.7
Teleop121.3
End11.8
red by 7.8
6802
#34
144.50.3
144.0144.3
Auto21.6
Teleop104.0
End19.6
Third
7068
#67
112.80.5
110.9111.4
Auto13.2
Teleop90.1
End9.2
blue by 23.5
4939
#63
136.30.3
136.8136.5
Auto17.3
Teleop101.9
End18.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsEarned74%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed25%Face the Boss oddsMissed