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Red450
708171.6
340210.3
597167.3
Blue267
2609162.6
6574129.3
4391179.9
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4442770100200400500600700450267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#5
210.30.9
206.6207.4
Auto23.6
Teleop157.3
End28.3
red by 30.4
4391
#65
179.92.7
184.9182.3
Auto27.2
Teleop131.8
End21.3
Second
708
#31
171.60.2
168.6168.8
Auto19.9
Teleop125.6
End25.5
red by 8.9
2609
#40
162.60.1
162.8162.8
Auto23.5
Teleop122.6
End11.6
Third
597
#19
167.30.4
166.3166.6
Auto23.2
Teleop123.6
End21.6
red by 38.0
6574
#48
129.30.3
129.1129.3
Auto16.5
Teleop97.8
End14.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsMissed93%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
25%Face the Boss oddsEarned17%Face the Boss oddsMissed