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Red405
527160.5
314157.3
5675171.2
Blue218
1720146.5
5090124.4
525186.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3642990100200400500600405218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5675
#21
171.20.7
172.3171.6
Auto23.0
Teleop123.1
End25.6
blue by 15.3
525
#45
186.50.0
188.6188.7
Auto22.9
Teleop138.8
End23.3
Second
527
#55
160.51.4
162.6161.2
Auto20.1
Teleop121.2
End17.5
red by 13.9
1720
#43
146.50.7
148.4147.7
Auto18.8
Teleop103.6
End24.6
Third
314
#9
157.31.0
154.2155.2
Auto18.7
Teleop120.6
End16.0
red by 32.8
5090
#58
124.40.7
126.3125.6
Auto17.9
Teleop92.0
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned80%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
20%Face the Boss oddsMissed28%Face the Boss oddsMissed