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Final 12018 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red463
4265154.1
2614182.9
4306142.2
Blue254
3959179.1
3489153.6
1466151.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34136305001,0001,5002,0002,500463254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2614
#1
182.90.2
182.5→182.7
Auto28.4
Teleop128.0
End26.4
red by 3.8
3959
#7
179.10.3
178.6→178.9
Auto22.9
Teleop142.0
End13.8
Second
4265
#8
154.10.5
153.0→153.6
Auto19.8
Teleop118.5
End16.0
red by 0.5
3489
#2
153.60.0
153.6→153.6
Auto20.6
Teleop109.4
End20.8
Third
4306
#29
142.20.6
141.1→141.7
Auto15.3
Teleop107.2
End22.8
blue by 9.1
1466
#14
151.30.2
151.0→151.2
Auto20.4
Teleop113.6
End16.4